Decision Framework v3

What This Tool Does

This tool uses AI (DeepSeek) to help you think more deeply about decisions.

Input: The decision you want to make, plus context (when it needs to be decided, constraints, who will be affected)

Output: Layered impact analysis, risks, and recommendations

The tool breaks down decisions into:

1. Direct Impact - What happens immediately
2. Indirect Impact - Consequences of consequences
3. Long-term Impact - Chain effects down the road
4. Unintended Consequences - Side effects you might not think of
5. Stakeholder Impact - Who gets affected and how
6. Time-based Analysis - How effects change over time

The AI considers multiple perspectives and challenges your assumptions.

Use Cases

1. Career Decisions

Analyze career changes with layered impacts - salary cut, equity gain, lost connections, career path, family impact.

2. Business Strategy

Evaluate strategic moves - costs, team morale, market position, company culture, team burnout.

3. Investment Decisions

Understand chain effects - cash flow, liquidity, compounding returns, timing risk.

How to Use

Step 1: Input Your Decision

Describe the decision you want to make clearly and specifically.

Tips:

• Be specific: "Launch product in Q1" instead of "Launch product soon"
• Include context: Why is this decision important?
• Mention alternatives: What are the other options?

Step 2: Add Context

Provide relevant context for more accurate analysis.

Include:

• Timing: When does this need to be decided? Any deadlines?
• Constraints: Budget, time, resources, dependencies
• Stakeholders: Who will be affected? Family, team, investors?
• Current Situation: What's your starting point?
• Goals: What are you trying to achieve long-term?

Step 3: Generate Analysis

Click "Analyze with Second-Order Thinking" and wait 30-60 seconds.

The tool will:

1. Identify all potential effects (direct, indirect, long-term impacts)
2. Map impacts to stakeholders
3. Highlight unintended consequences
4. Provide time-based analysis (immediate, 6 months, 1 year, 3+ years)
5. Suggest questions to dig deeper

Step 4: Review and Iterate

Read the results carefully. Don't decide immediately.

Do:

• Challenge the AI's assumptions - is the context accurate?
• Ask follow-up questions to dig deeper into specific areas
• Discuss with affected parties
• Run multiple scenarios (best case, worst case, most likely)

Don't:

• Follow AI recommendations blindly
• Skip discussions with affected people
• Forget: AI doesn't have full context about your life

Limitations

• Requires DeepSeek API key - Free: 10 analyses/month, Paid: unlimited
• AI isn't a crystal ball - Analysis based on patterns, still needs your judgment
• Quality depends on input - Garbage in, garbage out. Be specific!
• Analysis takes 30-60 seconds - Not instant, needs time for reasoning
• English prompts more accurate - Indonesian supported, English more accurate

Privacy & Data

1. Data flow: Your decision is sent to DeepSeek API for analysis
2. Our server: Does not store your decisions. Zero retention.
3. DeepSeek: Stores data for 30 days for safety monitoring (their policy)
4. Your API key: Stored in your browser (localStorage), not sent to our server

Recommendation: Don't input super sensitive info (personal health, financial details). Use general terms if needed.

Related Mental Model

This tool is a direct application of the Second-Order Thinking mental model.

**Learn the framework first:** Second-Order Thinking

Core principle: Don't stop at "What happens?" but continue to "And then what?"

Charlie Munger: "It is not enough to think about difficult problems one way. You must think about them forwards and backwards."